How the Centre for 21st Century Public Health is setting the global agenda for addressing the Commercial Determinants of Health
The Centre for 21st Century Public Health (C21PH) at the University of Bath takes a transdisciplinary approach to improving the health of communities and the environments in which they live across the globe. Led by Professors Anna Gilmore and Harry Rutter, the centre has achieved significant impact and policy influence through identifying the structural drivers, political, commercial and environmental factors of poor health in the 21st century.
“Health is not determined by health services and health systems; those are really illness services. Health is determined by where you live and work, the water you drink, the air you breathe, how wealthy you are, how you are treated at work, the marketing you are exposed to and so on."
Those are the things we are interested in addressing to get health improvements at scale. We look at the evidence around these structural drivers of health to inform policies and other actions for improving health, wellbeing, and equity.”
Addressing the Commercial Determinants of Health (CDoH) - the ways in which commercial actors and practices influence health and health equity - represents one of the most significant challenges facing the world today.
Professors Gilmore and Rutter are academic leaders in a field which is steadily gaining international prominence in the political landscape. Both Co-directors recently gave keynote addresses on these structural drivers of health at the international Wellbeing Economy Forum in Iceland; a global platform where speakers such as Halla Tómasdóttir, President of Iceland, and Michele Cecchini, Head of Public Health at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) spoke in support of sustainable wellbeing in alignment with the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Professor Gilmore presented on the commercial determinants of health, sharing her research which examines how corporate interests shape economies, policies and environments, and the structural and policy changes needed to address the health and environmental harms of harmful corporate practices.
“Four products are responsible for a third of global deaths; tobacco, alcohol, unhealthy foods, and fossil fuel resulting in air pollution and 40% to 80% of Non-communicable Disease (NCD) deaths.” – Professor Anna Gilmore
A seminal piece of work in this area is her model of the Commercial Determinants of Health, published in a three-part Lancet Series. Speaking about the model, Professor Gilmore said: “The model helps explain how commercial actors, products, and practices impact health and can also be used to identify solutions. The Lancet Series was also important in flagging the impact that commercial determinants of health have on inequality and the system nature of the problem.”
Her work is having impact on a global scale and Professor Gilmore contributed expert analysis on how commercial actors shape human and planetary health outcomes in the latest report of the Pan-European Commission on Climate and Health (PECCH), an independent advisory group convened by the World Health Organization (WHO).
Drawing on her research, she demonstrated how some commercial actors obstruct progress to addressing the global climate emergency and non-communicable diseases by shaping policy, regulatory, and information environments in their favour. She explains that governments need to adopt a health-in-all-policies approach that explicitly regulates commercial power, removes subsidies for health-harming industries, and aligns fiscal and trade policies with health and climate goals.
“Strong legal frameworks, transparency rules and independent monitoring are essential to counteract the power asymmetry between public institutions and global corporations. Unsurprisingly, given the clear conflict of interest, there is no evidence to support partnerships between governments and health harming industries to address the harms those industries have created. Instead, such approaches risk entrenching industry priorities within public health and sustainability agendas.”
As part of this work, the Centre for 21st Century Public Health has developed a curated collection of practical tools, frameworks, and evidence to support public health action on the commercial determinants of health.
Professor Anna Gilmore
Professor Anna Gilmore
Professor Harry Rutter speaking at the Wellbeing Economy Forum
Professor Harry Rutter speaking at the Wellbeing Economy Forum
Professor Anna Gilmore addressing delegates at the Wellbeing Economy Forum in Iceland
Professor Anna Gilmore addressing delegates at the Wellbeing Economy Forum in Iceland
Prof Anna Gilmore
Prof Anna Gilmore
Our research is helping to improve the world. Through collaborative partnerships we're creating a healthier, more sustainable, and connected future for all.
Taking a complex systems approach to public health
Co-director Professor Harry Rutter examines how interconnected challenges interact across systems. His work explores what policymakers, civil society, and commercial organisations must do to reverse damaging trends and create conditions in which both people and planet can thrive.
At the 2026 Wellbeing Economy Forum in Iceland, he shared findings from his work as co-chair of the Lancet Commission on Improving Population Health Post COVID-19. “High level thinking is required in terms of how we conceptualise our problems, how we undertake research, and generate evidence that can be put into practice,” he explained.
Bringing together experts from across the globe, the Commission examined three deeply interconnected challenges – infectious disease pandemics, non-communicable diseases, and environmental degradation – and the ways in which they interact across three critical systems: land use and transport, agriculture and food, and energy.
“The Commission explored the interactions between these challenges as interlinked problems that feed off each other, making each other worse.”
The threat of these major global threats to population health are clear: non-communicable diseases cause more than forty-three million deaths globally each year; outbreaks of infectious diseases, of which COVID-19 equated to more than 775 million cases and seven million deaths; and environmental degradation which is impacting human and planetary survival. As part of its report, the Commission identified a set of recommendations to address some of the greatest threats to population health.
Professor Rutter’s most-recent published work has been to co-author a major Lancet Commission report for the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) on liver health in Europe. The report, which revealed a growing liver disease crisis across Europe, with 780 deaths, each day, is another example of an interconnected public health crisis.
“It is essential to address the harmful influence of the alcohol and unhealthy food industries on individuals and on policy” he said. “Policy responses must shift away from ineffective, individual-focused measures and toward interventions that address the structural drivers of unhealthy behaviour. This means implementing strong, enforceable regulation of unhealthy products and the ways they are marketed.” - Professor Harry Rutter
Also taking a systems approach to Commercial Determinants of Health at the Centre is Research Associate Dr Amber van den Akker. Her PhD research mapped the complex system enabling industry influence on public health policy, showing that a commitment to partnership approaches opens the door for undue industry influence on policy.
Her research has focused on global food multi-stakeholder partnerships and the inherent power imbalances and conflicts-of-interest that are present when large food corporations are major stakeholders. Through highlighting the inherent shortcomings of an uncritically collaborative approach, her work addresses potential pitfalls in collaborative approaches to public health policy formulation.
Through her work, Dr van den Akker explores the need for more equitable inclusion in policy discussions, highlighting that farmers and responsible food producers must be meaningfully represented alongside other stakeholders. Her research has shown how partnership processes are structured in ways that effectively exclude those voices, whether by scheduling meetings during peak harvest periods or locating them in costly international venues such as Geneva that are inaccessible to participants from lower- and middle-income countries.
“This is upholding the power inequities that our research is addressing, to protect against conflicts-of-interest and good governance,” she said.
Professor Harry Rutter speaking at the launch of the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) Lancet Commission 2.0 for liver health in Europe
Professor Harry Rutter speaking at the launch of the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) Lancet Commission 2.0 for liver health in Europe
The EASL Lancet Commission 2.0 is implementing sustainable liver health in Europe
The EASL Lancet Commission 2.0 is implementing sustainable liver health in Europe
Dr Amber van den Akker is also taking a complex systems approach to the Commercial Determinants of Health
Dr Amber van den Akker is also taking a complex systems approach to the Commercial Determinants of Health
“Everyone needs to eat, but most of the big transnational corporations that are able to have a seat at the table [in policy] are the ones who have a large portfolio of deeply unhealthy products.”
Making a significant impact on tobacco policy from national to global levels
The Tobacco Control Research Group (TCRG), part of the University of Bath’s Centre for 21st Century Public Health, has played a leading role in shaping tobacco policy in the UK and internationally. The legacy of its work includes the introduction of a minimum excise tax (MET) on tobacco in 2017 and the implementation of plain packaging for cigarettes in 2016, both landmark public health measures. Globally, TCRG has also supported efforts to counter tobacco industry interference through its impact on the FCTC Article 5.3 Guidelines and the launch of Tobacco Tactics, a publicly accessible knowledge exchange platform providing rigorous, independent research on industry strategies and practices.
This long-standing expertise has informed TCRG’s contribution to the development of the UK Tobacco and Vapes Act, marking a historic milestone in efforts to protect future generations from tobacco-related harm in the UK. Central to the Act is a provision making it illegal to sell tobacco products to, or purchase them for, anyone born on or after 1 January 2009, with the aim of creating a smokefree generation. The Act also introduces restrictions on the advertising and sponsorship of vaping products, including both "newer tobacco and nicotine products, as well as other nicotine products such as nicotine pouches.
Dr Britta Matthes
Dr Britta Matthes
Dr Britta Matthes, Research Fellow in the TCRG, led the first study examining consultation and evidence submissions to the 2023–24 version of the Bill by the tobacco and nicotine industries. The study found industry actors continued to deploy long-established arguments to shape the legislation in their favour.
“We hope this work is valuable for policymakers and advocates in other countries which may be seeking to pursue their own tobacco-free generation policy or to reduce the appeal and availability of nicotine products. It can help them recognise and pre-empt the arguments used by the tobacco industry and linked organisations to oppose such regulations, such as the introduction of plain packaging.”
With the passage of this legislation, the UK becomes one of the first countries in the world to adopt a tobacco-free generation policy. As part of their contribution, TCRG provided evidence related to the Tobacco and Vapes Bill, including written consultation responses. Two members of the Group also gave oral evidence at the committee stage of an earlier 2023–24 version of the Bill, which fell ahead of the July 2024 General Election. Throughout the policy process, the team monitored tobacco industry activity and attempts to influence policymaking, sharing analysis via Tobacco Tactics.
Reacting to the passage of the Bill, Dr Rob Branston and Dr Allen Gallagher, TCRG Co-directors, commented that the legislation had ‘the potential to drastically improve health outcomes across the country'.
Dr Rob Branston
Dr Rob Branston
“There is still further work to be done to eliminate tobacco-related harm in the UK. But nevertheless, this landmark new Act, with its focus on viably moving toward a smokefree generation, is a major step in the right direction and a great public health achievement. We look forward to seeing the positive impact of this groundbreaking legislation on future generations.”
Recent impact from the Tobacco Control Research Group
Applying tobacco control lessons to address the influence of other health-harming industries
The Group’s work on tobacco industry influence has provided a strong foundation for examining how other health harming sectors shape policy and public understanding. The Centre’s research has, for example, demonstrated how other industries, including food, gambling and alcohol, use similar tactics to make it harder to influence environmental and public health protections.
Some of this most-impactful research has come from Dr Tess Legg. Her research into industry-funded science led to the development of the Science-for-Profit model, which shows the myriad of ways some corporate sectors have used the manipulation of science to weaken regulation, prevent litigation, and maximise product sales.
“Science, and the messages drawn from it, can be manipulated by vested interests. And major industries have used science to delay progress in tackling threats to human and planetary health.”
Drawing on a synthesis of 68 studies across multiple sectors, including tobacco, chemical and pharmaceutical industries, the model identified a consistent pattern of strategies used to delay action on threats to human and planetary health. It showed how corporations intervene at every stage of the scientific process, manipulating methods, reshaping standards of evidence, exerting pressure on researchers, and promoting policy reforms that privilege industry-generated evidence.
Dr Legg said, “We provided an accessible way to understand how and why corporations influence science, demonstrating the need for collective solutions, and the changes needed to ensure science works in the public interest.”
The model has been employed as an analytic framework in other researchers’ projects including those investigating tobacco industry involvement in science on heated tobacco products and livestock and meat industry influence in academia and public policy. Most recently, it has been used by the World Heart Federation as a framework to inform its new conflict of interest policy toolkit.
These insights are now being applied to the fossil fuel sector.
Research Fellow Dr Rachel Barry, whose research focuses on the regulation and political influence of health-harming industries, is examining how political and institutional structures currently enable harmful industries to influence the policies meant to regulate them by providing them at seat at the policy table.
In a recent paper for the Future Healthcare Journal, she highlighted how industries with vested interests use partnerships, youth prevention programmes, funding of science, and voluntary regulation schemes to position themselves as responsible corporate citizens – while blocking effective public health action behind the scenes.
“The historic claim to fame is that doubt is their product, an argument long used by Big Tobacco to delay action on smoking,” Barry said, referencing the tobacco industry’s decades-long campaign to obscure evidence of harm. “This is a tactic mirrored by other industry sectors like fossil fuels and ultra-processed foods.”
Drawing on the work of Dr Tess Legg and other colleagues in the Centre, Dr Barry highlighted striking parallels between the tactics used by health-harming industries and those now deployed by the fossil fuel companies. These include promoting doubt about the harms of their products through highly publicised disinformation campaigns, funding and conducting science that produces industry favourable outcomes, and positioning themselves as legitimate partners and part of the solution to the problems they cause.
“There’s still a deeply embedded view that fossil fuel companies can be a partner in achieving climate goals,” she observed. “That norm of industry engagement remains a major barrier to addressing the global climate emergency.”
Dr Barry recently addressed the European Parliament to highlight lessons from tobacco control to curb fossil fuel influence on climate policy. The cross-party meeting, convened by the Fossil Free Politics, a campaign spearheaded by Friends of the Earth Europe, Corporate Europe Observatory and Food and Water Europe, focused on how fossil fuel industry influence can be effectively regulated in climate and energy policymaking.
“Crucially, these are not radical proposals, but practical responses to the existing imbalance of power, resources, and access shaping climate policy decisions.”
Dr Barry emphasised that lack of consensus and understanding serves as a key barrier to the adoption of concrete safeguards to protect climate and energy policymaking, including clear conflict-of-interest rules and limits on fossil fuel industry access to decision-making spaces.
Reflecting on the meeting Dr Barry said, “There is still significant work to be done to raise awareness and build understanding of the risks that conflicts-of-interest pose to climate policymaking in the public interest.”
Dr Tess Legg, winner of the 2024 Peter Troughton Research Staff Prize
Dr Tess Legg, winner of the 2024 Peter Troughton Research Staff Prize
Dr Rachel Barry
Dr Rachel Barry
The European Parliament, Brussels (Photo by Lukas S on Unsplash)
The European Parliament, Brussels (Photo by Lukas S on Unsplash)
Research shaping policy for healthier places
Across national government and city regions, researchers at the Centre for 21st Century Public Health are influencing how health is understood, valued, and prioritised in policy decision-making. By combining robust economic analysis with applied public health expertise, their work is shaping both the frameworks used by central government to allocate investment and the applied local policies that directly affect how people live, work and travel.
One strand of this work has been driven by the £6.7 million Tackling the Root causes Upstream of Unhealthy Urban Development (TRUUD) programme, led by researchers from the Institute for Policy Research, the Department of Economics, and C21PH.
Working in close collaboration with the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG), the team has developed a new version of the Health Appraisal of Urban Systems (HAUS) model. This is a tool designed to help decision-makers assess and value the health impacts of changes to the urban environment and to make a stronger case for investing in healthier urban development.
The HAUS model has now been formally embedded in the latest version of MHCLG’s Appraisal Guide, used nationally to assess the value for money of housing, regeneration, and infrastructure investments. For the first time, the guidance explicitly promotes methods to quantify and value health impacts for specific populations, meaning health outcomes can be considered alongside economic and financial returns at the earliest stages of decision-making.
Dr Geoff Bates
Dr Geoff Bates
“Decision-makers now have a tool that enables them to think about health outcomes in urban development decision-making before it is too late. This has the potential to influence billions of pounds of public investment on urban development and improve public health and wellbeing.”
In partnership with the University of Bristol and informed by sustained engagement with national and local stakeholders, the work continues to provide a practical bridge between research and policy. As the government advances its new towns programme and its ambition to deliver 1.5 million new homes, the HAUS model ensures health is no longer an afterthought, but a core consideration in shaping places at national and local levels.
Alongside this national-level influence, researchers at the Centre are also generating compelling evidence on the real-world impacts of local policies. A separate study from Professor Eleonora Fichera has examined the effects of London’s Low Emission Zone (LEZ) and Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ), analysing more than a decade of data to assess environmental, health and economic outcomes.
Professor Eleonora Fichera
Professor Eleonora Fichera
Published in the Journal of Economic Behaviour & Organization, the study found that the introduction of the LEZ in 2008 and the ULEZ in 2019 led to substantial reductions in nitrogen dioxide and particulate matter, alongside marked improvements in public health. Following LEZ implementation, sick leave fell by 18.5%, respiratory issues dropped by 10.2%, and overall health problems declined by 6.8%, generating annual public health savings of more than £37 million.
“These policies are not just environmental wins. They are also reducing labour market absenteeism and improving Londoners’ life satisfaction. Clean air makes for healthier, happier, more productive communities.”
By applying methods to compare affected and unaffected areas, before and after the introduction of U/LEZ, the research demonstrates how clean air policy can deliver measurable health and economic benefits at scale. Together, these studies exemplify how the Centre for 21st Century Public Health is helping decision-makers, from Whitehall to city halls, within Europe and globally, design policies that improve health, wellbeing, and quality of life for people and the planet.